With unlimited research time, subscriptions to specialty publications and a deep awareness of the complex modeling tools on the market, you could probably create a report with some suggestions. Instead, what you need is a quick tool to help develop actionable information and, in the case of lethal infections, this tool could rapidly propose life-saving actions in the early days of the event.
This is the plan for a web-based disease-outbreak tool developed at Los Alamos National Laboratory, a quick analysis resource called AIDO (“I-do”) for Analytics for Investigation of Disease Outbreaks. Unlike traditional epidemiological models, this tool can be used by diverse group of users, such as analysts, scientists, practitioners, decision makers and the public, at no cost. The website provides historic information for key outbreaks of nearly 40 different diseases and it helps responders select the historic similarities to each new situation, even as an outbreak evolves over the first hours and days.
Why is that historic approach valuable? Given that history repeats itself, a review of comparable cases with similar climate, patient characteristics, treatment approaches and the like could have great value in guiding a community’s response.