The smart guys in the desert have set a line on the meeting of the stoppable force and the movable object.
New Mexico (1-1) opened as a 6-point favorite – though that line has since moved to 4½ – for Saturday’s home game against rival New Mexico State (0-3) at Dreamstyle Stadium.
The Lobos are 0-1 against the spread, having lost 66-14 as a 34½-point underdog last week at No. 7 Notre Dame. Typically, games matching major (FBS) colleges against lower-level Football Championship Subdivision (FCS) schools, such as UNM’s season-opening 39-31 win over Sam Houston State, aren’t listed by the Associated Press’ (and thus the Journal’s) oddsmaker, Pregame.com.
The Aggies are 1-2 against the spread, a winner for bettors who took the gargantuan 55½ points when they went to Tuscaloosa on Sept. 7 and lost “only” 62-10.
The moving line is slightly more generous to the Aggies than are the power ratings. The Sagarin ratings used by USA Today list the Lobos as 8 points better straight up and give 3 more for home-field advantage.
Otherwise, neither team gets much respect from Sagarin. UNM is ranked 119th and the Aggies 163rd in a ranking of both FBS and FCS schools. The only FBS schools listed lower are Connecticut (168), Akron (176), UTEP (178) and Massachusetts (206).
NMSU has won two of the last three games in the series, but the Lobos took the most recent – 42-25 on Sept. 15, 2018 in Las Cruces.