When is the last time you read a headline in the Albuquerque Journal about a fender bender or a flat tire? Imagine if these incidents were repeatedly lumped in with serious accidents involving totaled cars, hospitalizations and highway deaths.
That is, in effect, what the daily coronavirus case count can be compared to. Some days in somber tones, some days with morbid exuberance – “NM 467 new cases shatter single day record.”
We read with horror and fascination. But have you ever wondered how many of those “cases” will have no symptoms? How many of those cases will have mild symptoms? …
The Albuquerque Journal has no idea regarding these questions, it does not even bother making an estimation based on scientific data. Therefore can it be considered a useful metric in making decisions that can bankrupt business owners or deny your child an education?
On April 15 the CDC recommended states start reporting “probable” COVID-19 cases. That means if you exhibit symptoms but still test negative, or don’t test at all, you are counted as a COVID case.