The snarky quip attributed to 19th-century French Foreign Minister Charles Maurice de Talleyrand – “It was worse than a crime; it was a blunder” – has recently been making the rounds to deride a letter written by Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) and signed by 46 other senators.
They wrote to the Iranian theocracy that any agreement on nuclear proliferation negotiated with President Obama will not constitutionally bind the next administration – unless it is properly ratified by Congress.
Democrats were outraged. They charged that Cotton’s letter is a crime, a violation of the 216-year-old Logan Act. That law bars unauthorized individuals from conducting negotiations with foreign governments.
Even some Republicans sighed that the letter was a political blunder. It supposedly plays into President Obama’s caricature of obstructionist conservatives.
In fact, the letter was not a crime or a blunder.
Senators and House members have a long history of freelancing in foreign policy. Sometimes wisely, sometimes stupidly.
Republican senators went to great lengths to undermine Woodrow Wilson’s utopian idea of a League of Nations.
Democrats in Congress have been just as eager to warp administration foreign policy.
Secretary of State John Kerry is the most outraged of Cotton’s critics – and has the most notorious record of trying to undermine presidential foreign policy.
As a freshman senator, Kerry traveled to Nicaragua to show solidarity with “Comandante” Daniel Ortega – as a way of opposing then-President Reagan’s efforts to help the Contras in their resistance to the Sandinista communist takeover.
Cotton and the senators, in contrast, never traveled to hostile territory, never met with America’s enemies and never wrote personal letters to thugs.
But was the Cotton letter a political “blunder”? Not really.
Obama’s effort to negotiate an end to Iranian nuclear proliferation is probably bound to fail, given that it greenlights further Iranian nuclear enrichment. Obama also has no diplomatic credibility after issuing several prior empty deadlines for the Iranians to cease their nuclear enrichment.
Obama’s “red lines” to Syria, failed reset with Russia, lead-from-behind mess in Libya and the skedaddle from Iraq and Yemen have convinced Iran that Obama will go soft in negotiations, or not expect compliance with any agreement he signs.
Obama’s estrangement from both Israel and the Arab Gulf states only further reminds the Iranians that American negotiators are not worried about their allies’ outrage over the proposal.
Iran has been deemed by the State department to be the leading state sponsor of terrorism. It has openly threatened to destroy Israel. It sent operatives into Iraq to kill Americans. It has now carved out Shiite dependencies in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria and Yemen.
Given all that, no sane American administration would trust the Iranians to give up their nuclear program. Instead, most presidents would have continued with tough economic sanctions.
What Cotton and the senators have done is not criminal or stupid, but valuable both for the country and – ironically – for the Obama administration.
Obama is mischaracterizing the letter to use it as a wedge with the Iranians. He seems to be reminding them that he is the only thing standing between them and the anti-Iranian hardliners in the U.S. Senate. If Obama somehow manages to scare the Iranians into a treaty, he surely will not credit the senators for allowing him the leverage to play good cop to Sen. Cotton’s bad cop.
More likely, the Munich-like agreement will fail in the face of outrageous Iranian demands and an even more outraged American public.
When it does, Obama will then blame Cotton and his Republican colleagues for undermining his doomed efforts. Such scapegoating is now old hat for Obama.
Republicans, Democrats and all Americans should thank Cotton for reminding the Iranians that, under the U.S. Constitution, the Senate must ratify treaties with foreign powers. Cotton will get no credit if the Iranians get worried over his letter, relent and offer needed concessions.
But Cotton will endure plenty of blame if Iranian negotiators walk away in fury because a skeptical U.S. Senate would have to approve any sweetheart deal that they pulled over on Obama.
In other words, Cotton is not a blunderer – he is a classic lose/lose tragic hero.